Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.511983 0.569151 0.630869 0.702583 0.783781 0.873047 0.978862
2025-04-06 0.417479 0.495149 0.585441 0.698712 0.837772 1.003893 1.218814
2025-04-13 0.352071 0.435237 0.536641 0.670404 0.843720 1.062752 1.363775
2025-04-20 0.319460 0.408689 0.521891 0.677665 0.888990 1.169348 1.575585
2025-04-27 0.294296 0.387653 0.510184 0.685081 0.932069 1.274112 1.793766
2025-05-04 0.273156 0.369144 0.498961 0.690385 0.970632 1.374129 2.014348
2025-05-11 0.254297 0.351598 0.486765 0.692015 1.002514 1.465816 2.231126
2025-05-18 0.240105 0.339104 0.480114 0.700228 1.043716 1.574021 2.484718
2025-05-25 0.221195 0.318099 0.459106 0.684501 1.045810 1.620474 2.641691
2025-06-01 0.211263 0.309472 0.455538 0.694793 1.089153 1.736165 2.928118
2025-06-08 0.198613 0.295707 0.442930 0.689370 1.105813 1.808422 3.145830
2025-06-15 0.189886 0.287294 0.437852 0.695391 1.141604 1.916000 3.440002
2025-06-22 0.178248 0.273699 0.423860 0.685924 1.150668 1.978866 3.660897
2025-06-29 0.168709 0.262846 0.413546 0.681837 1.168805 2.059986 3.928556
2025-07-06 0.155544 0.245220 0.390833 0.654329 1.141826 2.053829 4.017577
2025-07-13 0.149906 0.239666 0.387895 0.661389 1.179111 2.173692 4.385486
2025-07-20 0.144728 0.234523 0.385238 0.668601 1.217096 2.298514 4.781242
2025-07-27 0.139588 0.229100 0.381684 0.673760 1.251356 2.419084 5.184416
2025-08-03 0.134250 0.222998 0.376492 0.675345 1.278480 2.527411 5.574640
2025-08-10 0.130251 0.218994 0.374761 0.683332 1.319171 2.668702 6.064891
2025-08-17 0.123153 0.209058 0.361621 0.668037 1.310039 2.699955 6.286594
2025-08-24 0.120054 0.206169 0.361276 0.678046 1.355312 2.857566 6.855567
2025-08-31 0.115105 0.199615 0.353663 0.672772 1.366956 2.939178 7.236699